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Oct 18, 2012
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the key, as we said before, california, virginia, ohio. governor romney, partly because he's bounced from the last debate, seems to have pulled up at least even, probably a little ahead in florida. virginia, almost dead even. but president obama clings to a whisper close lead in ohio. now, if you do the electoral college math, it's very hard to see how romney can win, if he doesn't win at least two, and he probably needs three, all three of those states, florida, virginia, and ohio. on the other hand, if president obama can just win ohio, he's probably going to win the election. >> one of the reasons that i think the vice presidential debate was very fun to watch and last night was very fun to watch, they were just good debates, is they covered a lot of other ground that hasn't really been trod in this campaign. and i think last night in particular, we got to a bunch of issues asked by those voters in the audience that are the kind of things that undecided voters might be hung up on, even if the beltway press hasn't. things like difference
the key, as we said before, california, virginia, ohio. governor romney, partly because he's bounced from the last debate, seems to have pulled up at least even, probably a little ahead in florida. virginia, almost dead even. but president obama clings to a whisper close lead in ohio. now, if you do the electoral college math, it's very hard to see how romney can win, if he doesn't win at least two, and he probably needs three, all three of those states, florida, virginia, and ohio. on the...
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Oct 18, 2012
10/12
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there was a great piece in national journal today that talked about how california used to be a swing state where places went back and forth. we see these things change. now this era of the end of the national campaign could change in the future, but for now it seems here to stay. >> chris, that national journal report talked about the president's team maybe pulling out of key states like north carolina, virginia, and florida while unwilling to concede that they might be losing in those states. let's play the what-if game, if you would indulge me for a minute. we never had an electoral college tie, 269-269. more and more people like our friend nate silver are talking about the possibility of an electoral tie this year. what do you make of that? is that wishful thinking? do we want some absurd, hilarious scenario? >> as journalists we wanted tochto. a tie would be historic. it would go to the house of representatives, of course, ruled by the republicans at this time. the odds are pretty small. obama's campaign is looking at other states. this is a plan b, because they know they can pic
there was a great piece in national journal today that talked about how california used to be a swing state where places went back and forth. we see these things change. now this era of the end of the national campaign could change in the future, but for now it seems here to stay. >> chris, that national journal report talked about the president's team maybe pulling out of key states like north carolina, virginia, and florida while unwilling to concede that they might be losing in those...
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Oct 18, 2012
10/12
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obama is going to win california. so it makes sense that even the short term or maybe the longer-term, that if you change to redirect those systems have republicans will trying to find more posts in the suffers would yield more vote, so you would have a higher turnout rate, which is presumably one of the goals here. and okay, maybe. but the problem with cases there is an academic study actually a phase, a swedish economy in the electoral college, and into president, and eight, he published an article in the american economic review and amazingly had found exactly what john and npv have been talking about, which is a database going back in time about presidential visits to states and that he was able to model looking forward up till that time, 22,008, he modeled what would be the difference. you know, we didn't have any direct presidential election system, but he was able to model with this database would have been like had we been in mexico. that he was able to compare to the modeling type named to really what john is
obama is going to win california. so it makes sense that even the short term or maybe the longer-term, that if you change to redirect those systems have republicans will trying to find more posts in the suffers would yield more vote, so you would have a higher turnout rate, which is presumably one of the goals here. and okay, maybe. but the problem with cases there is an academic study actually a phase, a swedish economy in the electoral college, and into president, and eight, he published an...
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Oct 18, 2012
10/12
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i went to virginia, pennsylvania, kentucky, utah, california and do a surprising how similar the worldviews of these tea partiers were and yet so distinct from my academic colleagues at ucla where i've been getting a phd. for the first one i'd like to make, one thing that sets the tea party apart from many others if they have a very traditional review. so essentially, they have this view america's land of opportunity and that all people regardless of backgrounds can succeed. now this is not to say, but they have this even more so and this is how the answer poll questions and how they help explain a lot of there there policy positions that other people have a hard time understanding. the scope of this. so these are some signs i took at a washington d.c. tea party protest here by the capital. you often see signs like this. don't spread my wealth. spread my work ethic. stop punishing and rewarding failure. this is all part of a common thing. and for this to make sense, i think we should go for some polling data. i'm going to show you some polling numbers that i've conducted with the recent rup
i went to virginia, pennsylvania, kentucky, utah, california and do a surprising how similar the worldviews of these tea partiers were and yet so distinct from my academic colleagues at ucla where i've been getting a phd. for the first one i'd like to make, one thing that sets the tea party apart from many others if they have a very traditional review. so essentially, they have this view america's land of opportunity and that all people regardless of backgrounds can succeed. now this is not to...
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Oct 18, 2012
10/12
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started a charter school in oakland, california, and have been with a private school for, um, 35 years and just retired. and there is a similarity in all of those, and you've talked about this, but to get down to what really happens we need supportive teachers who know what the hell they're doing. and they need to be great teachers. they need to understand not only kids, but they need to understand parents. and principals need to understand teachers, and they need to understand and help parents. when i taught in the cleveland inner city schools, we did all our parent/teacher conferences at the parents' homes. and can that was in a tough area in cleveland. we had after school programs for parents to learn sewing, cooking, finances and is so forth. and teachers, i don't know how to -- as being a principal, we need to get the best teachers if possible. and if they're not good, to get rid of them. and is that's hard to do. it's easier to do in nonpublic schools than public schools. but i don't know what else to say. we need to keep getting those great teachers and getting principals who un
started a charter school in oakland, california, and have been with a private school for, um, 35 years and just retired. and there is a similarity in all of those, and you've talked about this, but to get down to what really happens we need supportive teachers who know what the hell they're doing. and they need to be great teachers. they need to understand not only kids, but they need to understand parents. and principals need to understand teachers, and they need to understand and help...
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Oct 18, 2012
10/12
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. ♪ this land is your land this land is my land ♪ ♪ from california to new york islands ♪ ♪ from the red stream forest to the gulf stream waters ♪ ♪ this land is made for you and me ♪ >> bruce springsteen out on the campaign trail for the president. let's go to jack right now. he has the cafferty file. >> watching this hour, how many presidential debates are enough, he said. how many presidential debates are enough. gale in texas one, better yet, none. the hypocrisy surrounding the debates absolutely abnoxious repeat this behavior at the end is ludicrous. to see the candidates eat each other alive. the bloodier the better. kind of like the gladiators in ancient rome. raphael writes, how many debates are necessary until third party candidates with ballot access in almost all 50 states are allowed to participate. at least that way americans realize they have more than two options. lauren in chicago writes, before the debates started, i would have said none. that's because i didn't think romney had it in him to beat mr. charisma in a debate. one debate is plenty in this day of 24-
. ♪ this land is your land this land is my land ♪ ♪ from california to new york islands ♪ ♪ from the red stream forest to the gulf stream waters ♪ ♪ this land is made for you and me ♪ >> bruce springsteen out on the campaign trail for the president. let's go to jack right now. he has the cafferty file. >> watching this hour, how many presidential debates are enough, he said. how many presidential debates are enough. gale in texas one, better yet, none. the hypocrisy...
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Oct 18, 2012
10/12
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. >> bill: seen enough of that in california. finally -- not finally but the four that i identified quickly president romney -- >> oh! >> i can hit the dump button. >> bill: thank you. governor romney at one point and the president didn't really respond to this. he said so why did you reject that pipeline? did the president reject the pipeline? >> the pipe -- no. >> bill: thank you. >> he punted on making a decision. >> bill: he had to. i mean they didn't finish the review of it. yeah, he could have said we'll forget about any environmental review about a pipeline that crosses ten states is it? i forget. >> it crosses the whole country. it goes from canada to the gulf coast. >> bill: yeah. forget about all of the environmental sensitive areas that it hases and just build the pipeline but they had not completed the environmental process. >> to be fair, president obama actually was on track. the state department was on track to approve the pipeline last year. until environmentalists really rallied and made a huge issue of this. you
. >> bill: seen enough of that in california. finally -- not finally but the four that i identified quickly president romney -- >> oh! >> i can hit the dump button. >> bill: thank you. governor romney at one point and the president didn't really respond to this. he said so why did you reject that pipeline? did the president reject the pipeline? >> the pipe -- no. >> bill: thank you. >> he punted on making a decision. >> bill: he had to. i mean...